Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.430908 4.965104 5.546740 6.228437 7.007243 7.871235 8.905064
2025-02-02 3.752557 4.487297 5.348674 6.438668 7.789042 9.417178 11.544057
2025-02-09 3.284329 4.122436 5.161170 6.554974 8.394086 10.762571 14.083851
2025-02-16 2.938163 3.834249 4.995868 6.631235 8.904985 12.000278 16.612162
2025-02-23 2.671231 3.602554 4.856879 6.697232 9.375140 13.203170 19.224368
2025-03-02 2.377958 3.295757 4.571847 6.510319 9.442154 13.812645 21.018503
2025-03-09 2.167605 3.079555 4.384838 6.431977 9.641093 14.616342 23.193027
2025-03-16 1.986256 2.885483 4.206714 6.339931 9.795659 15.351242 25.335660
2025-03-23 1.914745 2.846027 4.251839 6.591171 10.513445 17.065488 29.376116
2025-03-30 1.791340 2.715038 4.141986 6.578982 10.788724 18.060641 32.271085
2025-04-06 1.672197 2.580040 4.012512 6.518281 10.968394 18.900365 34.986256
2025-04-13 1.505885 2.356539 3.721588 6.155641 10.575820 18.657061 35.549536
2025-04-20 1.427444 2.273047 3.658529 6.188529 10.912598 19.829516 39.198058
2025-04-27 1.385972 2.247720 3.690926 6.393602 11.592011 21.746381 44.740028
2025-05-04 1.332445 2.197360 3.675288 6.508150 12.109246 23.407047 50.016730
2025-05-11 1.277300 2.139663 3.641318 6.583602 12.555393 24.976541 55.365380
2025-05-18 1.225247 2.083302 3.604635 6.649015 12.986244 26.566962 61.055111
2025-05-25 1.142690 1.966301 3.447875 6.463623 12.871422 26.942344 63.789681
2025-06-01 1.081540 1.884138 3.349674 6.385917 12.976677 27.823859 67.984975
2025-06-08 1.023535 1.803967 3.249367 6.294621 13.041417 28.617988 72.096186
2025-06-15 1.010805 1.807747 3.310275 6.543811 13.896186 31.412355 82.325205
2025-06-22 0.968517 1.752295 3.251087 6.531722 14.148271 32.759993 88.672574
2025-06-29 0.923911 1.689557 3.172989 6.471517 14.279952 33.820097 94.382463